Why Home Builders Won’t Drop New Home Prices

By Qiong (June) Zhang42 Comments

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-home-builders-wont-drop-193437024.html

“New home prices have dramatically outpaced existing home prices, and the reason for that is because you have a very constructed mortgage market today. The only people who can buy are people who are very well off, so that’s created a positive mix shift,” noted Barclay’s analyst Stephen Kim in an interview on CNBC’s

Right now the divide between new and existing home prices is wider than ever. The average price of an existing home in December was $231,400, according to the National Association of Realtors, while the U.S. Commerce Department reported the average price of a newly built home stood at $304,000.

“New home prices are advancing faster than existing home prices because demand has increased and, as Kim did admit, the mortgage filter is allowing only higher income or at least higher net worth people through the application net, and they are purchasing higher valued homes. But that is true of existing purchases as well,” argues David Crowe, chief economist for the NAHB.

“Lumber and other building material prices have risen very rapidly recently. Shortages of lots and labor supply are beginning to show up, and I expect as new household formations begin to recover, that shortage will expand to more markets. The way to get more resources back into the housing market is to raise the price paid, i.e., wages and land prices,” says Crowe.

“Builder will have to raise prices to compensate for their efforts, risks and, at least for a short time, being the only ones left,” adds Crowe.

News

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